Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Odds & Spread

Oklahoma State’s Ollie Gordon II (0) celebrates a Alan Bowman (7) touchdown in the first half during a Bedlam college football game between the Oklahoma State University Cowboys (OSU) and the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Okla., Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023.We’ve made our Texas A&M vs Oklahoma St prediction for Wednesday’s bowl gameThe latest odds favor the Cowboys to pull out a narrow victory at NRG StadiumRead below for Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State prediction and odds for the Texas Bowl

Texas A&M (7-5) will face Oklahoma State (9-4) in the TaxAct Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium in Houston on Wednesday, December 27 at 8:00 PM CT. The game will be televised on ESPN.

The Texas Bowl betting odds currently have Oklahoma State as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 55 points. This will be the first meeting between the two teams since 2019, when the Aggies defeated the Cowboys 24-21 at College Station.

Let’s offer you our Texas A&M vs Oklahoma St prediction, as we fully preview the Texas Bowl on Wednesday night.

Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State Odds

In the Texas Bowl odds, the Cowboys come in as -170 favorites, giving them 63% implied probability to pull out the victory.

The Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State betting line has seen notable movement, with the Cowboys now favored after initially opening as the +4.5 underdog.

Odds as of December 27th, at ESPN Bet. Sign up using the ESPN Bet promo code “DIME” to unlock a $250 bonus for the Texas Bowl.

Aggies Betting Trends

Texas A&M finished the regular season with a 7-5 record, with their last game being a 42-30 loss to LSU. Another mediocre season in Aggie land led to the dismal of head coach Jimbo Fisher in November. Interim head coach Elijah Robinson will coach the bowl game, although he’s committed to becoming Syracuse’s defensive coordinator next season.

There is plenty of uncertainty around the Texas A%M program right now, as offensive coordinator Bobby Petrino is also leaving (for Arkansas) next season. Furthermore, the team has a very long list of opt outs for this game, including quarterback Max Johnson.

Excited to be a Tar Heel! Let’s Go! @Hayesfawcett3 #TarHeels pic.twitter.com/Ps6s6L0rWE

— Max Johnson (@MaxJohnson14) November 29, 2023

Texas A&M’s defense was once again its biggest strength this season, ranking 22nd in the nation and allowing just 20.8 points per game. The Aggies were particularly stringent against the run, allowing just 106 yards per game on the ground.

The offense was decent, averaging 34.2 points per game, but the team’s rushing attack finished bottom-five in the SEC. Texas A&M’s offense is led by quarterback Jaylen Henderson, who has thrown for 704 passing yards and six touchdowns this season. Running back Amari Daniels has rushed for 514 yards and five touchdowns.

Texas A&M has put together a 6-5-1 ATS record so far this year, but are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.

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Cowboys Betting Trends

Oklahoma State, on the other hand, finished the regular season with a 9-4 record and lost to Texas in the Big 12 Championship game. The Longhorns appeared to be on a different level than the Cowboys, as they outgained them 662-221 in total yardage in a blowout victory.

Oklahoma State’s offense is led by running back Ollie Gordon II, who boasts 1,614 rushing yards and 20 rushing touchdowns, along with 37 receptions for 326 yards and another touchdown. Gordon has actually entered the transfer portal, but WILL play in the Bowl game.

Ollie Gordon II running up a resume so far this year

🔶 1,614 rushing yards🔶 20 TDs🔶 Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year🔶 Doak Walker Award Winner pic.twitter.com/8o96jFxSR0

— TaxAct Texas Bowl (@TexasBowl) December 27, 2023

The Cowboys have a balanced offense that ranks 55th in the nation, averaging 29.5 points per game. Quarterback Alan Bowman has thrown for 3,058 yards and 13 touchdowns this season.

Oklahoma State’s defense has been pretty solid, allowing 23.3 points per game. That average number got brought down big time with the loss to Texas, but the team’s defensive play is the reason they made it to the Big 12 Championship in the first place.

Oklahoma State has beaten the spread seven times in 12 games, with the “over” also cashing in six of their past eight contests.

Texas A&M vs Oklahoma St Prediction

This matchup will feature two teams with contrasting strengths. Texas A&M has struggled offensively but has a stingy defense allowing just 21.3 points per game. Oklahoma State has a potent scoring attack but has been vulnerable defensively.

The Aggies will rely on their run defense, which ranks 18th nationally, to try and slow down Ollie Gordon II. If they can force Alan Bowman into obvious passing situations, they have the pass rush to get after him. Texas A&M has generated 42 sacks and ranks 22nd in pass rush efficiency (per PFF).

All of the Aggies opt outs, combined with coaching instability, have us hesitant to lay points with Texas A&M here. Ok State, on the other hand, has a much better team environment at the moment and only a single bowl opt-out for this game.

The other thing to consider before making a prediction is that the Cowboys are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven bowl games under coach Mike Gundy. Not only does he know how to motivate his team in these “meaningless” games, but he’s guided the Cowboys to a stellar 22-10 ATS mark as betting underdogs since 2016.

Pick: OK State -3.5 (-110)

 

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