With Liverpool suffering a 2-0 road defeat to Everton on Wednesday, it’s shaping up to be a two-team race to the title this year. Arsenal (77 points) holds the top spot in the table, while Manchester City (76 points) sits in second, but the Treble winners also have a game in hand.
All 20 teams are in action over the weekend and I’ve narrowed in on three specific matches from a sports betting perspective. Here are my three favorite bets for Matchday 35 in the Premier League.
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Premier League Matchday 35 Preview & Best Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Wolverhampton (+100) vs. Luton Town (+260), DRAW (+285) | O/U 2.5 (-165/+130)
Four matches are kicking off in the 10:00 a.m. ET window on Saturday. That’s where all three of my bets come from. It’s going to be a jam-packed two hours of action, getting underway with this match between Wolverhampton and Luton Town. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00 a.m. ET from Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton.
Both of these clubs have seen brighter seasons, but there’s still work to be done down the stretch. Wolverhampton is currently 12th in the table (43 points), while Luton Town is 18th (25 points). The biggest issue for each of these teams has been their offense. Wolverhampton has taken a step forward from their measly 31-goal performance in 2022-2023, but they’re still ranked just 15th in overall offense (46 goals) this term. As for the Hatters, they’re 14th, notching 47 goals this season.
With two underachieving offenses, I’m going to play the alternate under at 3.0 goals. This will give us a push to fall back on, but I truly think we’re in for a 1-0 or 2-0 game. Wolverhampton has kept their defensive prowess, where they’re a respectable eighth in goals conceded (54). They’ve seen three or fewer total goals in five of their last six matches, with four of those games landing on exactly one or two goals. Let’s lock in the under with these two dormant attacks.
Bet: Alt Under 3.0 Goals (-130)
Manchester United (-190) vs. Burnley (+450), DRAW (+400) | O/U 3.5 (-115/-110)
Erik ten Hag’s squad got back in the win column during their mid-week clash with Sheffield United, beating them 4-2. United returns home this weekend to host Burnley, who’s currently 19th in the table (23 points). Kickoff is set for 10:00 a.m. ET from Old Trafford in Manchester.
Wednesday’s win over the Blades snapped a four-match winless streak for the Red Devils, where they went 0-3-1 over the four EPL contests. Considering United gets another bottom-feeder at home this weekend, I’ll take them to stretch this lead out and win by multiple goals.
The offense has been heating up for United, as they’re averaging 2.6 goals per match over their last eight games in all competitions. That’s a great trend considering we’ll need all the scoring we can get to cover the spread. Luckily, Burnley has been one of the worst defenses in the Premier League, ranking 17th overall (69 goals conceded). Maybe the Clarets score a goal, but I think the Red Devils will put up at least three on their home pitch, cruising to an easy three points.
Bet: Manchester United -1.5 (+125)
Newcastle United (-425) vs. Sheffield United (+950), DRAW (+650) | O/U 3.5 (-115/-105)
Between an early Champions League exit and a seventh-place position in the domestic table (50 points), it’s been a relatively underwhelming season for Newcastle. They’ll host lowly Sheffield United this weekend, who are still in the cellar with just 16 points. Kickoff is set for 10:00 a.m. ET from St. James’ Park in Newcastle.
I’m always looking to fade the Blades in some capacity. This week, I’ll simply lay 2.0 goals with Newcastle. The Magpies are trending in the right direction, where they’re 3-1-1 in their last five Premier League matches. All season, it’s been their offense that has guided the way to success. Eddie Howe’s men rank fifth in overall offense, where they’ve netted 69 goals. During their recent 3-1-1 stretch, they’re averaging a respectable 2.0 goals per match.
Now the Magpies are tasked with running up the score on a historically bad Blades’ defense. They’ve conceded 92 goals over 34 matches (2.7 GA/G). To put that into context, Swindon Town’s 1993-1994 team allowed 100 goals over a 42-match campaign. There’s a chance Sheffield breaks that record in fewer matches. Ultimately, I expect this high-flying Newcastle offense to run up the scoreboard against an inferior opponent, cruising to a multi-goal victory.
Bet: Newcastle United -2.0 (-105)
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