Florida State vs Florida Odds, Preview & Picks

Nov 18, 2023; Tallahassee, Florida, USA; Florida State Seminoles defensive back Azareye’h Thomas (20) and defensive back Jarrian Jones (7) celebrate an interception against the North Alabama Lions during the third quarter at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Morgan Tencza-USA TODAY SportsThe #5 Florida State Seminoles are 6.5-point road favorites at the Florida Gators as the long time college football rivalry renews on Saturday, November 25Florida State is 5-1 ATS in the last six away games facing FloridaThe Gators are 1-5 SU in their last six games against ranked teams

Last season, the Florida State Seminoles (11-0, 6-5 ATS) ended a three-game losing streak to their arch rivals the Florida Gators (5-6, 4-7 ATS) via a 45-38 home-field victory.

Their previous victory in 2017 was the conclusion of a five-game winning streak and oddsmakers are projecting that the Seminoles are embarking on another run of success against their hated cross-state foes.

It’s the #5 Seminoles who are set as 6.5-point road favorites in the Florida State vs Florida odds. This is the first time since the 2017 victory that Florida State is the away chalk at Florida.

Let’s take a deep dive into the Florida State vs Florida odds and offer you our prediction for this Week 13 battle of traditional rivals.

Florida State vs Florida Odds

In the Florida State vs Florida odds, the Tigers are -245 moneyline favorites, giving them an 71.01% implied win probability. The total is set at 49 points. This is the first game between these two schools with a total under 50 points since 2017.

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Odds as of Nov. 24 at DraftKings. Check out our DraftKings Review before betting on Seminoles vs Gators and other college football Week 13 action this week.

Florida State is 4-2 straight up in the last six games at Florida. The away team has covered in four of the past five Seminoles vs Gators matchups.

Kickoff for this game at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday, November 25 is set for 7:00 pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by ESPN.

Seminoles vs Gators Betting Trends

In the college football public betting splits, there is division among the people on the spread splits. The handle is leaning ever so slightly toward underdog Florida at 51%. However, bets are liking the Seminoles to the tune of 62%.

Florida is 4-8 against the spread over the past 12 games. The Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last three games. Straight up, Florida State is 4-0 on the road this season. Florida is 4-2 SU at home, but 0-2 in the last two games.

On the over/under of 49 points, both handle and bets are split right down the middle at 50%. Florida State is 7-4 on the total this season. The Gators are 8-3 on the total in 2023.

Florida State is the eighth betting choice in the national championship odds at +2800. The Seminoles are given a betting line of +140 to qualify for the playoffs

Backup QBs Coming To The Fore

Both the Seminoles and Gators will be starting backup quarterbacks in this big game. Florida QB Graham Mertz suffered a nondisplaced collarbone fracture in last week’s loss to Missouri. Seminoles QB Jordan Travis suffered a season-ending left leg injury in their win over North Alabama.

Tate Rodemaker came in to finish the North Alabama game and will get the starting nod against Florida. He’s appeared in eight games, completing 56 of 93 passes with seven touchdowns and five interceptions over four seasons.

Trevor Etienne says Max Brown has been “lights out” this week in practice.

“He can make those crazy plays with his feet that kind of like have you in awe. I’m excited to see him play Saturday.”

Brown threw for 56 yards and rushed for 42 in the 4th quarter vs Missouri pic.twitter.com/BAC4JuXfUQ

— Florida Gators 🐊🔥 (@gatorsszn) November 23, 2023

Getting the start for the Gators will be redshirt freshman QB Max Brown. He’s more mobile than Mertz and that was causing problems for Missouri’s defense. Brown rushed for 42 yards.

2024-25 CFP National Championship Odds: Georgia Are Early FavoritesRead More

Can Florida Stop Florida State receivers?

Rodemaker threw for 217 yards and two TDs in relief of Travis. This will be his second career start and first on the road in no less a place than the daunting Florida Swamp.

Keon Coleman Updated Highlights🍢 45 Receptions (10th in ACC)🍢 615 Receiving Yards (10th in ACC)🍢 11 Receiving TDs (1st in ACC)🍢 266 Punt Return Yards (1st in ACC)One of 10 Biletnikoff Semifinalists pic.twitter.com/9K1FVZsTSn

— Clay Fink (@clay_fink) November 21, 2023

Rodemaker’s ability to get the ball to Florida State’s talented group of receivers could be the determining factor in the outcome of this game. Keon Coleman has caught 45 passes for 615 yards and 11 TDs. Johnny Wilson’s 33 receptions have gone for 532 yards and a pair of scores.

Florida’s defense has permitted six receivers to go for 100+ yards over the past five games.

Florida State vs Florida Prediction

The Seminoles are coming into this game riding a 17-game win streak. Meanwhile, the Gators are losers of four in a row and must win this game to be bowl eligible.

The Seminoles lead the ACC in scoring offense (40.1 points per game) and scoring defense (16.9 PPG). Florida State has committed an NCAA-low five turnovers.

Florida State has already qualified for the ACC Championship Game and likely needs to win out to hold on to any hope of earning one of the four spots in the CFP. So the Seminoles p to be fired up for this game.

Florida State vs Florida Pick: Florida State Seminoles -6.5 (-112)

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