Divisional Round Player Props – Best Props to Bet for NFL Playoffs

Jan 14, 2024; Arlington, Texas, USA; Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones (33) reacts after scoring a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys during the first quarter for the 2024 NFC wild card game at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY SportsOnline sportsbooks have released player props for this weekend’s Divisional Round PlayoffsAaron Jones has rushed for over 100 yards in four straight games. We’re targeting his rushing attempts in this weekend’s prop picksSee all of this week’s top passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown props to target for the Divisional Round

We’re down to the final eight teams competing for this year’s Super Bowl and we’ve rounded up eight different NFL player props touching on each of the games this weekend. Read on to see why we like Baker Mayfield’s passing yards, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards, George Kittle’s receiving yards and more of our Divisional Round player props here.

Divsional Round Playoffs Player Props

This weekend’s NFL player props focus on passing props for Mayfield and Purdy, rushing props for Allen, Singletary and Jones, receiving props for Kittle and St Brown and an anytime touchdown from Montgomery.

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When it comes to how to bet on NFL player props, there are endless options and you can bet on almost any position group of players. Read on for our top NFL player props for the NFL Playoffs here.

Divisional Round Playoff Passing Props – Baker Mayfield Passing Yards

The Lions are strong versus the run, ranking 2nd during the regular season, but their passing defense gives it back ranking 27th. So If Baker Mayfield and the Bucs want to have success, they may be wise to attack the Lions deep, something that Mayfield, who has a little gunslinger in him, won’t be afraid to do.

In the last four games the Lions’ secondary has surrendered 367, 396, 345 and 411 passing yards. Of that, 807 alone came to Nick Mullens.

Mayfield and the Bucs offense has been heating up in recent weeks where they’ve scored 29 or more points in four of their past six games. Mayfield threw for 337 yards and 3 TDs last week versus the Eagles and also has games of 309, 283 and 381 passing yards in his past five games. Numbers that would have soared over his passing prop total of 260.5 for this weekend. At this point the best of the number has passed, as his total was 253.5 earlier in the week. But Mayfield has still been going way over the current number as well.

NFL Player Prop Picks: Baker Mayfield over 260.5 passing yards (-114); risk 1 unit at FanDuel Sportsbook What’s the FanDuel Kick of Destiny 2 for Super Bowl & How Are Gronk & John Cena Involved?Read More

Divisional Round Playoff Passing Props – Brock Purdy Passing Touchdowns

Brock Purdy has 31 passing touchdowns this year, of which 19 came in his last eight games. And in those eight games he threw for multiple touchdowns on six occasions.

The Packers were about mid-pack in their pass defense this season ranking 14th in yards allowed per game. In the first nine games they only allowed an opposing QB to throw for multiple touchdowns once. However, in their past nine games an opposing QB has thrown for multiple TDs five times.

This includes three TDs from Dak Prescott last week. In also includes two from Bryce Young in Week 16 and four from Mayfield in Week 15.

While several books have seen the juice rise on Purdy’s TD passes to over -200, FanDuel still has the best price I found at -198.

NFL Player Prop Picks: Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-198); risk 1 unit at FanDuel

Divisional Round Playoff Rushing Props – Josh Allen Rushing Yards

Josh Allen may have exploded for 74 yards rushing on just eight carries last week but 52 of those yards came on one run. While he’s been basically at or over a rushing prop total of 45.5 yards each of the past three games (74, 67, 44), he’s still only gone over 45.5 four times this season and once was just barely, finishing with 46 yards.

When the Chiefs and Bills last met up, Allen rushed ten times for 32 yards and a touchdown. Those 32 yards are just the third-most yards the Chiefs have allowed to QBs from a rushing standpoint all season. Only Justin Fields with 44 yards in Week 3 and Easton Stick with 77 yards in Week 18, a meaningless game, have rushed for more. Meaning only twice this season has a QB run for over 45.5 yards versus the Chiefs.

Allen’s rushing prop has dipped slightly to 42.5 or 43.5 at some books, but an alternate total of 45.5 is available at ESPN Sportsbook.

NFL Player Prop Picks: Josh Allen under 45.5 rushing yards (-135), risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Divisional Round Playoff Rushing Props – Aaron Jones Rushing Attempts

It’s unlikely Packers’ RB Aaron Jones replicates his three-TD performance against the Cowboys again this weekend against the 49ers third-ranked run defense.

But he also rushed for 118 yards on 21 carries, and feeding Jones the rock since he returned from injury has been a recipe for success for Matt LaFleur and the Packers.

In the last four games Jones has made 21, 22, 20 and 21 rush attempts, for 118, 111, 120 and 127 yards—all Packers wins.

NFL Player Prop Picks: Aaron Jones over 16.5 rushing attempts (+100); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Aaron Jones in his last 4 games

• 118 rush yds, 3 TD vs the Cowboys• 111 rush yds vs the Bears• 120 rush yds vs the Vikings• 127 rush yds vs the Panthers

That’s 84 carries for 476 total rush yards (5.7 yards per carry) and 4 Wins.

He’s the heartbeat of the Packers… pic.twitter.com/otppyGgYiX

— IKE Packers Podcast (@IKE_Packers) January 15, 2024

Divisional Round Playoff Rushing Props – Devin Singletary Rushing Yards

Baltimore may be an above-average rushing defense overall, ranking 14th, but they’ve been below average in recent weeks. If we look at Week 10 onwards, they’ve allowed over 100 yards rushing in five of eight games and the top rushers in those games have finished with 107, 69, 32, 114, 31, 103, 107 and 112 yards. So six of those eight totals would have blown over the rushing yardage prop of 59.5 set for Texans’ running back Devin Singletary this week.

Singletary has 964 rushing yards this season between the regular season and playoffs, good for an average of 53.55 which does fall right under this prop total. But many of the games where he finished with low rushing totals came much earlier in the season.

In his last ten games, Singeltary has gone over 59.5 yards seven times, including in last week’s Wild Card game where he had 66 yards.

NFL Player Prop Picks: Devin Singletary over 59.5 rushing yards (-120); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Divisional Round Playoff Receiving Props – George Kittle Recieving Yards

Sure much of Dallas’ yardage and points came in garbage time, but Green Bay still allowed Cowboys’ TE Jason Ferguson to have game-high ten catches. With those catches he had 93 yards and 3 TDs.

Season-long, Green Bay’s defense gave up an average of 4.18 catches and 50.53 yards per game to opposing tight ends. That’s not terrible and does come in right around this week’s receiving yardage prop total for 49ers’ TE George Kittle.

Kittle sat out Week 18 and only had 29 yards in Week 17 versus Washington, but prior to that his yardage totals had been 126, 54, 76, 68, 19, 89, 116, 149 and 78.

Meaning he’s gone over 51.5 in 8/10 recent games and ten total times season-long.

NFL Player Prop Picks: George Kittle over 51.5 receiving yards (-125); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Amon-Ra St. Brown has cemented himself as a TOP 5 WIDE RECEIVER IN THE NFL ☀️ pic.twitter.com/TqMKLx7Ij0

— Woodward Sports Network (@woodwardsports) January 18, 2024

Divisional Round Playoff Receiving Props – Amon-Ra St Brown Receiving Yards

Neither team between the Bucs and Lions boast a good passing defense so we could see some points in this game. The Bucs specifically, rank 27th in passing yards per game and while they routed the Eagles 32-9, they did allow Eagles’ WR DeVonta Smith to finish with 148 yards receiving.

This week, Lions’ WR Amon-Ra St Brown has a yardage prop of 90.5 and the Bucs have allowed an opposing leading WR to top that number in 11 games this season. Plus, they saw one other game where an opposing top receiver finished with 90 yards. Among these games, was Week 6 when these teams last met and St Brown finished with 124 yards.

St Brown’s last five games have seen him finish with 110 (last week), 144, 90, 106 and 112 yards, while he’s gone over 90.5 in 11 games overall this season.

NFL Player Prop Picks: Amon-Ra St Brown over 90.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Divisional Round Playoff Touchdown Props – David Montgomery Anytime TD

Lions’ running back David Montgomery comes in as the most-favored player to score a TD in the Bucs vs Lions props. It makes sense when you consider that he has scored 13 touchdowns on the year, has found the endzone in 12/15 overall games, in each of his last four games and in eight of his past ten.

The only counter-points you could make is that Tampa has only allowed five rushing touchdowns to running backs all season, plus just two receiving touchdowns to the position.

Tampa has given up a running back touchdown in only five games (three rushing TD games, two receiving TD games) and have given up zero running back touchdowns rushing or receiving in their past five games.

Something has to give and we’ll bet on Montogomery finding the endzone at least once this weekend.

NFL Player Prop Picks: David Montgomery anytime touchdown (-125); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Before you make your NFL Playoffs player props for the Divisional Round, be sure to head on over to one of the top NFL betting apps this weekend to grab an exciting sportsbook bonus for your NFL prop bets.

Season NFL Props Record: 67-62, -5.47 units

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