BetIQ Daily: Texas Tech vs. Texas and Bulls vs. Magic Picks

BetIQ Daily: Texas Tech vs. Texas and Bulls vs. Magic Picks

Tuesday picks for BetIQ feature Texas vs. Texas Tech in Chris Beard’s return to Lubbock, and Magic vs. Bulls in NBA action.

February 1, 2022 – by Jason Lisk

Texas Tech will face Texas and former coach Chris Beard in Lubbock (Christopher Hook/Icon Sportswire)

BetIQ Daily turns the calendar to February and braces for a wintry blast.

Today features a Big 12 rivalry with a little extra emotion tonight, and a young NBA team that has started to improve in recent days. We’ll also continue to highlight some Super Bowl content throughout the week.

1) Texas Tech -5

NCAAB Spread Pickvs. Texas, Tuesday, 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPNTexas Tech is one of five playable spread picks tonight in college basketball.Two of best defensive teams in country face off, as both rank among top 10 in our defensive efficiency metric.Texas Tech has been better home team, going 13-0 SU and 10-3 ATS so far, compared to 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS in road/neutral games.This is a “circle the calendar” game for Tech with former head coach Chris Beard returning to Lubbock for first time since leaving for rival Texas.

2) Orlando +10.5

NBA Spread Pickat Chicago, Tuesday, 8:00 p.m. ETPlayable NBA spread pick according to our models.Orlando has been three points better on average with starting lineup of Cole Anthony, Jalen Suggs, Franz Wagner, Wendell Carter, Jr., and Mo Bamba than without at least one of them.Magic are 3-1 ATS and have won two straight with that lineup, playing together for first time since November 19 due to a variety of injuries.That includes a 114-95 win over Chicago nine days ago.Chicago has been about three points worse than rest-of-season average over last nine games with injury issues, including guards Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso being out.

Super Bowl Line Movement Stats

For betting subscribers, we have a few articles up about line movement on both the spread and over/under in Super Bowl matchups.

One nugget included in those: The team that has spread closing-line movement in their favor has covered seven of the last nine times, including all three underdogs winning outright.

We’ll have more Super Bowl content coming over the next few days, so check our BetIQ articles page.

Key Stat from Sunday’s Bengals Win Over Chiefs

This tweet caught my eye with regard to Patrick Mahomes’ complete collapse against the Bengals on Sunday:

Patrick Mahomes vs. 3-man rush

First half: 4-for-7 57 yards

Second half: 3-for-8 15 yards, INT, 4 sacks

— Steve Palazzolo (@PFF_Steve) January 31, 2022

Mahomes had more sacks than completions when the Bengals dropped eight into coverage in the second half. Stunning.

Top Pick Performance Trends

Our algorithmic models use over a decade of data to predict every game across five sports.

As of post time, here are some highlights of prediction performance from our primary Ensemble Forecast model this season for playable-rated picks (52.5% confidence or better) against game-day betting lines:

NFL point spread picks: 48-36-2 (57%, +7.6 units)College football over/under picks: 180-146-3 (55%, +17.7 units)NBA moneyline picks: 92-80 (+10.1 units) #mc_embed_signup {background: #eee;}#mc_embed_signup div#mce-responses {margin: 0;width:96%;padding: 0;}#mc_embed_signup div.response {width: auto;padding: .5em 1em;font-weight:normal;margin: 0 0 3% 0;}#mc_embed_signup #mce-error-response {background: #d0091b;color: #fff;}#mc_embed_signup #mce-success-response {background: #006600; color: #fff;}#mc_embed_signup div.response a {color: inherit;text-decoration:underline;}